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There are enemies and team compositions for many things outside of the normal 12 classes we play. There is a Troll Berserker as well as a Shadow Hunter, Void elfs got 3 Void exclusive classes.There is even a High elf among the teams. If anything, i expect the next class to be something Death related. Try to sit near your crush in class. If your teacher lets you choose your seats, try picking a seat close to your crush. Even if there's not a seat right beside her, sit where you are in her line of sight. If you see a green down arrow, that means the horse is dropping in class. A red up arrow means moving up in class. The class comparison is based on the horse's last race on the SAME surface as the current race. Click here (or view the right sidebar) for the description of the icons on the prediction form. 10 Ways to Get Bumped Up to First Class on Your Next Flight. Here are 10 things you can do to increase your odds of flying first class for free: 1. Mid: Levels 5-15 - where most sub classes start coming into play and the class specializes in an area(s) Late: Levels 15+ - capstone abilities and generally ridiculously powerful and cool shit becomes available. Tier A - The absolute best in class, the gold standard this class will seem broken how good they are.

The British Horseracing Authority (BHA) gives horses an Official Rating (OR) as a means of helping us determine the quality of the horse. It is an essential component of handicapping because it enables official handicappers to decide how much weight a horse should carry in each race. Horses can only compete in a certain Class of race if they fall within the specific OR range.

According to the BHA, it has 11 handicappers who work tirelessly to ensure the sport remains competitive. It publishes a list of updated ORs every single week. The higher the rating, the better the horse.

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Each rating point equates to one pound of weight. So a horse rated at 115 should carry 7 pounds more than a horse with an OR of 108. The ratings are different in Flat & AW races and National Hunt events. Incidentally, the top Flat and AW horses are rated at 115+ while top NH horses tend to have an OR of 140+.

Official Ratings vs. Racing Post Ratings

Experienced punters are often more faithful to the Racing Post Ratings (RPR) than they are to the OR. There is often quite a disparity between the two sets of ratings, and some betting experts believe you should consider selections that have an RPR of 10 points higher than their OR. However, you’ll find that this happens with several selections a race!

For example, you might see a horse with an OR of 73, but it fails to run to expectations. A quick check on the Racing Post website reveals that the horse had an RPR of 68. In other words, the Racing Post team believed the horse was overrated and issued a lower rating than the horse’s OR.

To give the Racing Post team credit, they are often correct which is why the publication is arguably the world’s best horse racing authority. (This writer certainly does not consider himself anywhere near the equal of the Racing Post team).

I will probably write a separate post about RPR, but in this piece, it is all about the OR of horses.

Isn’t The Top Rated Horse The Best in the Race?

The simple answer is ‘no’ for a variety of reasons. As good as the handicappers at the BHA are, the OR they assign to each horse is an estimate which means the horse could be underrated or overrated. Likewise, the RPR of each horse is not a rock solid indicator of a horse’s ability in comparison to the rest of the field.

As I said, there are a number of reasons why OR and RPR can’t be counted on 100%; not least the practice of trainers gaming the system. For example, a trainer could breed a 2-year old horse for middle distance races and enter it into sprints in the knowledge that it won’t fare well. Sure enough, the horse lacks raw pace and fares badly. It receives a low OR of 53 by the end of the season.

As a 3-year old, the trainer enters the horse in middle distance races under its low OR. ‘Amazingly’ it starts winning races off its artificially low mark. While this isn’t a frequent phenomenon, it happens more often than you might think.

Let’s see how Top Rated horses do in races since 2015 from the punter’s perspective.

Clear proof, if any was needed, that the top rated horse in a race is not always worth backing. In fact, the highest rated horse wins little more than one-fifth of the time hence the awful ROI loss figures. Indeed, despite having a much lower win rate, backing the lowest rated horse in the rate would give you more or less the same ROI losses.

Things get a little better when you focus on top rated horses that are also clear favourites. They win over 41% of the time, but you still lose 3.82% on Betfair since 2015. Even backing odds-on favourites leave you with a loss of almost 3%.

If you focus on National Hunt favourites that won their last race, your loss comes down to 0.78%. Stick to Class 4, 5 and 6 races, and you get a profit of 4.93%. Finally, bet on Handicap races only and your ROI increases to a reasonable 14.72% with profit in each of the last 3 years. With almost 100 bets a year, you have a system worth your while.

Other Statistics

What about horses moving up or down in Class? Horses moving up could still be in the midst of a hot streak whereas horses moving down might be too good for lower grade company. Let’s find out.

Top Rated & Moving Down in Class

Horses in Flat races are by far the most interesting option. By adding in a drop in class, backing top rated horses goes from a loss of 6.75% to a loss of just 0.39%; even though the win ratio drops slightly. Horses that drop to Class 3 races (from Class 2) provide 42% profit since 2015, but alas, this figure is a mirage as it is boosted by a remarkable 2015.

Top Rated & Moving Up in Class

This strategy is a complete money pit! You will suffer double digit losses betting on all three codes for any horse taking a step up in class. Indeed, it is worth laying these horses as doing so in All-Weather races yields a profit of over 9% since 2015.

A Horse’s Rating in Different Classes

This is the final set of statistics I will look at and involves horses within specific OR ranges competing in races of a certain Class. Rather than going through the long list of data I researched, here are the highlights:

• Horses with OR 45-50 in Flat, Class 6 Handicap Races = 6.3% ROI
• Horses with OR 55-60 in AW, Class 5 Handicap Races = 14.81% ROI including an excellent 2017 so far.
• Horses with OR 76-80 in Flat Class 3 races = 10.59% ROI including a good 2017 so far.
• Horses with OR 70-80 in National Hunt Class 5 races = 11.91% (Very consistent over the last 3 years).

Final Words

There is no ‘magic’ OR where a horse suddenly becomes a sure thing. The BHA handicappers do a superb job of ensuring that handicap races are tough to call and the bookies tighten their belts when it comes to non-handicap events. There are of course a few profit systems, but I must warn you, the win rate is quite low, so value is the order of the day.

One final point: Look for horses that are clearly outclassed in OR terms. For example, a horse with an OR of 50-55 competing in a Class 5 event. More often than not, you can make a profit from laying the horse. While there is an upper OR in each Class, trainers are welcome to send horses with a low OR into a race with better-rated rivals.

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Even in handicap races, these horses are usually badly off the pace. For instance, since 2015, there have been 192 entries with an OR of between 50 and 62 in Class 4 races in Flat and AW codes; only 3.57% have won.

Horse Racing Tips – Winning Horse Racing Handicapping Angles – Part 1
By Kenneth Strong of Predictem.com

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The horse racing tips and handicapping angles below should be checked every time you handicap a race. What you’re looking for is an edge on handicappers and bettors who fail to go beyond basic handicapping.

While some of your competition in the betting pools will rely only on betting tips, touts, house numbers and the like, preferring to perform no handicapping at all before they make a bet, you can be sure that anyone who is more than just a casual punter will use factors such as class, current form, Beyer Speed Figures and trainer patterns to separate the contenders from the non-contenders.

But the aforementioned factors are rarely good enough to smoke out a winner at a nice price these days. If the winner is obvious after basic handicapping has been performed, the odds will reflect that, and generally make the horse an underlay or poor betting proposition.

A search through the past performances for the handicapping angles below should be incorporated into your handicapping regimen on a regular basis until it becomes second nature to you. These simple angles can be valuable in tough races in which it is difficult to separate the contenders from the non-contenders. If you happen to find two or more angles applying to the same horse you may have found yourself an excellent bet.

And occasionally – a horse will jump off the page at you and scream - Bet Me!

No kidding.

Winning Horse Racing Handicapping Angles – Part 1

Handicapping Angle #1 - Maiden Special Weight to Maiden Claiming

A drop in class from Maiden Special Weight races to Maiden Claiming races produces one of the most profitable betting scenarios in horse racing, even if the horse has shown absolutely nothing in the Maiden Special Weight races. If the horse was close to the pace, went off at odds lower than 10-1 or experienced some degree of trouble in its Maiden Special Weight races, it should be given even more consideration. Regardless, because the class drop is often steeper than it looks on paper, and because the horse now has some racing experience, it has to be given extra consideration. Surprisingly, these droppers often go off at excellent odds.

Handicapping Angle #2 – Dropping Speed

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A horse dropping in class, that has also shown speed at the higher class level, can be one of the best bets in racing. Even if unable to get the lead at the higher class level, if the horse was able to stay within three lengths of the pace at the first and/or second calls of the race, it can be a major contender on the class drop. And the cheaper the race, the more dangerous the dropping speed will be. While early speed is always an advantage, it tends to be much more powerful in the cheaper, shorter races, especially maiden claiming races. The drop in class after facing faster fractions and better horses is often just what the horse needs to find the winner’s circle. If the horse has been showing speed and stopping badly in all its races, the class drop might not be enough, but these kind can and do come back to win every day at good odds.

Handicapping Angle #3 – Lone Speed

A horse able to get the lead by itself is an exceptionally good bet no matter what the class or distance. Horses with speed simply win more races than come-from-behind types, much more than their share. While lone speed is more effective in shorter cheaper races, it is also effective in higher class races and route races. Horses coming from behind are always at a disadvantage behind a lone speed horses able to relax on the lead. Even with the introduction of synthetic racing surfaces, which so far have tended to favor closers, a lone speed horse still has an advantage and should be bet at the right price. A horse that has been showing speed but that has always been under pressure in its previous races can romp when finally able to get the lead by itself. Not always – but enough times at good odds to make it worth betting.

Handicapping Angle #4 – Jockey Switches

While a good rider can’t make a bad horse win, a bad rider can definitely get a good horse beat. If a trainer is making a jockey switch from a mediocre or average rider to a top rider it deserves special consideration. If the horse has early speed even better - and if it is dropping in class it becomes an almost automatic play. Trainers put leading riders on their horses for a reason, and top riders tend to ride well meant horses. Additionally, if the horse is of the cheaper variety and it does win, it can often repeat or run well in its next start if the same rider stays aboard. This is an angle not used by many, and it continues to be very effective. Cheaper horses generally perform at the top of their game for only a very short period of time in their yearly form cycle. If you catch a horse getting good on a rider switch (or even another angle like surface switch, blinkers on or off, distance switch etc.) and they are well spotted to take advantage of the same angle in their next start – pay close attention. Obviously, a combination of multiple repeating angles will make the horses an even better proposition.

Handicapping Angle #5 – Running Style Changes

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Whenever a horse does something it hasn’t done before you have to take a serious look at its past performances. This is especially true with regards to running style and it works both ways. If a horse has that has been showing speed and fading in its races suddenly changes its running style with a good effort from off the pace the light bulb may have gone on. It now knows what it is supposed to do (get to the wire ahead of the other horses) and is showing a willingness to do that. Conversely, when a horse that has been plodding along and passing a few horses every race suddenly shows wake up speed to the first (and hopefully second) call of a race, it may also be ready to run a big race in its next start. The running style change angle is often missed or dismissed by average handicappers but you should definitely keep it in your toolbox.

There are numerous handicapping angles in horse racing, all of which can lead to profits when identified and applied at the right time. In part two of our series on horse racing handicapping angles we will be covering First and Second Time Lasix, Layoff Horses, Blinker Changes, Turf to Dirt Surface Switches and Trouble Lines.

The above handicapping angles will start you on the road to becoming a more intelligent handicapper and more importantly, a profitable bettor. We’ll have numerous additional angles, insights, tricks and betting tips you’ll want to memorize and incorporate into your handicapping arsenal on your way to becoming a successful player.

Make sure to check back weekly at Predictem.com for more free
horse racing tips!

Related:Part II of this Article